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Is the outlook for the cruise industry plain sailing?
Key takeaways
- While Baby Boomers once formed the core consumer base for the cruise industry, an increasing number of younger travelers and first-time passengers are now coming on board.
Cruise operators are investing in new hardware, including mega-ships and private destinations, to acquire new customers.
- Against a tighter consumer spending backdrop, cruise voyages — which often work out cheaper than land-based vacations — are growing in popularity.
Looking ahead, J.P. Morgan Research estimates the cruise industry will capture ~3.8% of the $1.9T global vacation market by 2028.
The cruise industry has markedly picked up speed after taking a major hit during the COVID-19 pandemic. According to the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA), about 35.7 million passengers are expected to set sail in 2024, 6% more than in 2019. Indeed, major cruise lines have enjoyed a successful 2024 wave season — the period from January to March, when operators offer their best deals.
“An important point underscoring our more constructive view of the cruise industry post-pandemic is market share gains from the larger $1.9T global vacation market and accelerated new-to-cruise customer acquisition,” said Matt Boss, Head of Leisure and Retailing (Department Stores & Specialty Softlines) at J.P. Morgan. “Demand remains robust, with not a single historical lead indicator in the business, notably booking curve and on-board spend, signaling any softening.”
Ahead of the summer travel season, what is the outlook for the cruise industry, and what’s driving its rebound?
The cruise industry is picking up speed, with about 35.7 million passengers expected to set sail in 2024. (Source: Cruise Lines International Association)
While Baby Boomers once formed the industry's core consumer base, an increasing number of young travelers and first-time passengers are coming on board.
The number of cruise passengers is growing
The annual number of cruise passengers from 2023 to 2027 is expected to exceed pre-COVID levels.
Positive demographic shifts
In the past, Baby Boomers formed the core consumer base for the cruise industry. Today however, an increasing number of younger travelers are coming on board. According to the CLIA, 73% of Millennials and Gen X travelers say they would consider a cruise vacation. And during its first-quarter earnings call, Royal Caribbean International noted that half of its cruise customers are Millennials or younger.
This is in part due to rising affluence. “Importantly, the spending capacity of the Millennial customer has grown ~49% since 2019, with the average net worth today for an individual aged 40 or under now standing at ~$259K,” Boss observed.
Cruises are also attracting more first-time passengers. During its first-quarter earnings call, Carnival Cruise Line noted there was a healthy mix of “new-to-cruise” in its 2025 bookings to date, with the customer group increasing by over 30% versus a year ago.
Elevated product and destination offerings
Cruise operators are overhauling their offerings in order to appeal to consumers. “Key operators are investing in new hardware, notably mega-ships and private destinations. This is driving more eyeballs to the industry, accelerating new-to-cruise acquisition,” Boss said.
In April 2024, Norwegian Cruise Line placed the largest ship order in its history to meet rising demand for cruise travel. The company will receive eight new vessels between 2026 and 2036.
Investments in land-based offerings are burgeoning, too. For instance, Royal Caribbean’s private island in the Bahamas, Perfect Day at CocoCay, is expected to draw over 3 million visitors in 2024. In the same vein, Carnival Cruise Line is developing a private beach destination, Celebration Key, on Grand Bahama. Opening in 2025, it will feature five areas, each with its own distinct amenities. “Investments in such attractions provide the cruise industry with the improved ability to give customers an experience that is better able to compete with land-based alternatives,” Boss added.
“Key operators are investing in new hardware, notably mega-ships and private destinations. This is driving more eyeballs to the industry, accelerating new-to-cruise acquisition.”
Head of Leisure and Retailing (Department Stores & Specialty Softlines), J.P. Morgan
Consumers favor cruises over land-based activities
According to J.P. Morgan Research’s recent Cost of Living survey conducted in April, only 29% of respondents still have excess savings, and 45% expect to spend less in discretionary categories over the next 12 months. This illustrates an increasingly cautious spending environment even in the face of moderating inflation.
This puts cruise voyages, which often work out cheaper than land-based vacations, in good stead. “We see the consumer increasingly focused on value within discretionary categories, with the value spread between cruises and land-based alternatives standing at 25–30% today versus 10–15% pre-pandemic,” Boss noted. “Cruise lines have focused on improved experiences with no step down in quality or service despite inflation, further amplifying their value.”
Despite the tighter consumer spending environment however, both ticket and onboard prices have increased in recent months. Royal Caribbean International cited that in addition to record ticket pricing, consumer spending onboard and pre-cruise purchases continue to exceed prior years. In the same vein, Carnival Cruise Line’s onboard revenue in the first quarter of 2024 was +17.6% versus the first quarter of 2019.
Overall, the demand backdrop remains robust for the cruise industry. “We estimate that 85%+ of tickets have been booked for 2024, and the focus is turning to 2025, with bookings to date already ahead of historical levels,” Boss said. “Looking ahead, we see the industry growing revenues by high-single digits over the next five years, capturing ~3.8% of the global vacation market by 2028.”
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Cruise industry in the United States - statistics & facts
How many cruise passengers travel from the u.s. every year, what are the leading u.s. cruise companies, key insights.
Detailed statistics
Revenue of the cruises industry in the U.S. 2020-2029
Revenue growth of cruises in the U.S. 2020-2029
Employment in the cruise line operator industry in the U.S. 2023-2024
Editor’s Picks Current statistics on this topic
Number of global ocean cruise passengers 2019-2023, by source market
Number of cruise passengers from the U.S. 2016-2023
Further recommended statistics
- Premium Statistic Number of global ocean cruise passengers 2009-2027
- Premium Statistic Number of global ocean cruise passengers 2019-2023, by source market
- Premium Statistic Main global cruise destinations 2019-2023, by number of passengers
- Premium Statistic Revenue of the cruises industry in the U.S. 2020-2029
- Premium Statistic Revenue growth of cruises in the U.S. 2020-2029
- Premium Statistic Direct spending in the cruise industry in the U.S. 2021-2022, by type
- Premium Statistic Businesses in the cruise line operator industry in the U.S. 2022-2024
- Premium Statistic Employment in the cruise line operator industry in the U.S. 2023-2024
Number of global ocean cruise passengers 2009-2027
Number of ocean cruise passengers worldwide from 2009 to 2023, with a forecast until 2027 (in millions)
Number of ocean cruise passengers worldwide from 2019 to 2023, by source region (in 1,000s)
Main global cruise destinations 2019-2023, by number of passengers
Leading ocean cruise destinations worldwide from 2019 to 2023, by number of passengers (in 1,000s)
Revenue of the cruises market in the United States from 2020 to 2029 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Revenue growth of the cruises market in the United States from 2020 to 2029
Direct spending in the cruise industry in the U.S. 2021-2022, by type
Direct spending in the cruise industry in the United States in 2021 and 2022, by type (in billion U.S. dollars)
Businesses in the cruise line operator industry in the U.S. 2022-2024
Number of businesses in the cruise line operator industry in the United States in 2022 and 2023, with a forecast for 2024
Number of employees in the cruise line operator industry in the United States in 2023, with a forecast for 2024
Cruise passengers
- Premium Statistic Number of cruise passengers from North America 2016-2023
- Premium Statistic Number of cruise passengers from the U.S. 2016-2023
- Premium Statistic Growth rate of the cruise passenger volume from the U.S. 2017-2023
- Premium Statistic Cruise passenger movements at leading ports worldwide 2019-2023
- Premium Statistic Interest in taking a cruise vacation in the U.S. 2024
Number of cruise passengers from North America 2016-2023
Number of cruise passengers sourced from North America from 2016 to 2023 (in 1,000s)
Number of cruise passengers sourced from the United States from 2016 to 2023 (in 1,000s)
Growth rate of the cruise passenger volume from the U.S. 2017-2023
Year-over-year percentage change in the number of cruise passengers sourced from the United States from 2017 to 2023
Cruise passenger movements at leading ports worldwide 2019-2023
Number of cruise passenger movements at selected leading ports worldwide from 2019 to 2023 (in 1,000s)
Interest in taking a cruise vacation in the U.S. 2024
Share of adults who were interested in taking a cruise vacation in the United States from 2022 to 2024
Cruise companies
- Premium Statistic Revenue of Carnival Corporation & plc worldwide 2008-2023
- Premium Statistic Net income of Carnival Corporation & plc 2008-2023
- Premium Statistic Revenue of Royal Caribbean Cruises worldwide 1988-2023
- Premium Statistic Net income of Royal Caribbean Cruises worldwide 2007-2023
- Premium Statistic Revenue of Norwegian Cruise Line worldwide 2011-2023
- Premium Statistic Net income of Norwegian Cruise Line worldwide 2011-2023
- Premium Statistic Tour revenue of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings worldwide 2014-2023
- Premium Statistic Net income of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings worldwide 2014-2023
Revenue of Carnival Corporation & plc worldwide 2008-2023
Revenue of Carnival Corporation & plc worldwide from 2008 to 2023 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Net income of Carnival Corporation & plc 2008-2023
Net income of Carnival Corporation & plc worldwide from 2008 to 2023 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Revenue of Royal Caribbean Cruises worldwide 1988-2023
Revenue of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. worldwide from 1988 to 2023 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Net income of Royal Caribbean Cruises worldwide 2007-2023
Net income of Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. worldwide from 2007 to 2023 (in million U.S. dollars)
Revenue of Norwegian Cruise Line worldwide 2011-2023
Revenue of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. worldwide from 2011 to 2023 (in billion U.S. dollars)
Net income of Norwegian Cruise Line worldwide 2011-2023
Net Income of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. worldwide from 2011 to 2023 (in million U.S. dollars)
Tour revenue of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings worldwide 2014-2023
Total tour revenue of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. worldwide from 2014 to 2023 (in 1,000 U.S. dollars)
Net income of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings worldwide 2014-2023
Net income of Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. worldwide from 2014 to 2023 (in 1,000 U.S. dollars)
Consumer opinions
- Premium Statistic Key factors that would enhance the appeal of cruises in the U.S. 2024
- Premium Statistic Ideal length of time to spend on a cruise vacation in the U.S. 2024
- Premium Statistic Main cruise lines chosen by cruise travelers in the U.S. 2024
- Basic Statistic Best-rated mega-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
- Basic Statistic Best-rated large-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
- Basic Statistic Best-rated midsize-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
- Basic Statistic Best-rated small-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
- Basic Statistic Best-rated river cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Key factors that would enhance the appeal of cruises in the U.S. 2024
Main factors that would enhance the appeal of cruises in the United States as of February 2024
Ideal length of time to spend on a cruise vacation in the U.S. 2024
Ideal length of time to spend on a cruise vacation according to adults in the United States as of February 2024
Main cruise lines chosen by cruise travelers in the U.S. 2024
Main cruise lines chosen by cruise travelers in the United States as of February 2024
Best-rated mega-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Best-rated mega-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide as of June 2023
Best-rated large-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Best-rated large-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide as of June 2023
Best-rated midsize-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Best-rated midsize-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide as of June 2023
Best-rated small-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Best-rated small-ship cruise lines by travelers worldwide as of June 2023
Best-rated river cruise lines by travelers worldwide 2023
Best-rated river cruise lines by travelers worldwide as of June 2023
Further reports
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Cruise is one of the safest ways to travel —and is becoming one of the most responsible and best ways to see the world—with cruise lines advancing an ambitious sustainability agenda.
A list of the best, most interesting cruise statistics and weird facts which are relevant to the cruise industry in 2024. Includes expert sources.
A handful of U.S.-based players dominate today’s global cruise market, namely Carnival Corporation, Royal Caribbean Cruises, and Norwegian Cruise Line.
Against a tighter consumer spending backdrop, cruise voyages — which often work out cheaper than land-based vacations — are growing in popularity. Looking ahead, J.P. Morgan Research estimates the cruise industry will capture ~3.8% of the $1.9T global vacation market by 2028.
The global cruise market size was valued at USD 7.67 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 11.5% from 2023 to 2030. This can be attributed to the rising popularity of the vacation on a cruise due to the cost difference and the amenities provided by the alternative vacations.
With the rebound in the number of cruise travelers, the revenue of the cruise market in the United States also experienced a sharp annual rise in 2022, surpassing nine billion U.S. dollars.